Hawke’s Bay V Canterbury on 2025/08/22

Club Level Predictions

The first set of predictions treats a club as the smallest object, as the club develops its members, organizes a gameplan, and deploys its players as needed for each match. This club model is currently predicting Canterbury to win by 0.88.

Our Over/Under is 58.5 - and combined with the spread above, we have a predicted scoreline of 29 to 30

Each club has a rating and a rating deviation (similar to a Glicko rating), and expected performances can be generated. This allows for simulated matches and spreads like the ones below.

Projected Performances - Club Model

Projected Spreads - Club Model

Projected Results - Club Model